Alternative Premier League table after 36 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 36 games, based on expected goals
We have just two more games left in the Premier League this season and there is STILL almost everything to play for.Liverpool and Manchester City keep winning in their quests to be champions, while Tottenham, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Manchester United keep slipping up in the top four race.6

Manchester City scraped past Burnley at the weekend following Liverpool’s win over Huddersfield

Brighton and Cardiff are the two teams who are battling to avoid the final relegation spot but the Seagulls could be confirmed safe this weekend if the Welsh don’t win against Crystal Palace.And if all of this wasn’t enough then how about the fight to finish seventh – which could earn a club a Europa League place if Manchester City win the FA Cup – Wolverhampton Wanderers are occupying the place currently, but Leicester City are on their tails, with Everton and West Ham United just behind. But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by ‘Expected Goals’?Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20Games played – 36Real points = 14 | Expected points = 27.7719. Fulham – Real position = 19Games played – 36Real points = 26 | Expected points = 32.9718. Brighton – Real position = 17Games played – 36Real points = 35 | Expected points = 34.806

Brighton’s Pascal Gross celebrates with Lewis Dunk as he scores his team’s first goal during the Premier League match bagainst Newcastle United

17. Cardiff – Real position = 18Games played – 36Real points = 31 | Expected points = 35.0016. Newcastle – Real position = 13Games played – 36Real points = 42 | Expected points = 35.5015. West Ham – Real position = 11Games played – 36Real points = 46 | Expected points = 38.94Getty6

West Ham ace Michail Antonio celebrates scoring against Tottenham

14. Burnley – Real position = 15Games played – 36Real points = 40 | Expected points = 41.0013. Southampton – Real position = 16Games played – 36Real points = 38 | Expected points = 43.4512. Watford – Real position = 10Games played – 36Real points = 50 | Expected points = 44.90 11. Crystal Palace – Real position = 12Games played – 36Real points = 43 | Expected points = 48.3110. Bournemouth – Real position = 14Games played – 36Real points = 42 | Expected points = 48.329. Everton – Real position = 9Games played – 36Real points = 50 | Expected points = 50.738. Leicester – Real position = 8Games played – 36Real points = 51 | Expected points = 54.896

Leicester stars celebrate during their demolition of Arsenal at the King Power Stadium

7. Arsenal – Real position = 5Games played – 36Real points = 66 | Expected points = 55.126. Wolves – Real position = 7Games played – 36Real points = 54 | Expected points = 56.625. Manchester United – Real position = 6Games played – 36Real points = 65 | Expected points = 58.216

Manchester United were frustrated by Chelsea at Old Trafford on Sunday

4. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 3Games played – 36Real points = 70 | Expected points = 60.593. Chelsea – Real position = 4Games played – 36Real points = 68 | Expected points = 66.812. Liverpool – Real position = 2Games played – 36Real points = 91 | Expected points = 79.966

Liverpool stars Virgil van Dijk and Sadio Mane celebrate as they keep the heat on Manchester City.

1. Manchester City – Real position = 1Games played – 36Real points = 92 | Expected points = 86.30

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But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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